Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 14:30
13.4227.3%
X3.8524.3%
21.9348.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Werder Bremen
WWDLDLDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
RB Leipzig
DWLDLWDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.40
9.20
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.00goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.10Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
1.70goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.40
9.20
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
19.60
Match total
19.10
Shots
16.60N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.20
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%25.6%-1.7 pp
Draw24.3%30.8%+6.5 pp
Away48.4%43.6%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS62.8%
Historical average
1.33–1.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
2-210.3%
1-29.0%
2-17.7%
0-26.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.73–5.21
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.5%
Away53.8%