Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 14:30
11.6755.8%
X4.0523.0%
24.4121.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WWWWWWWWLD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Mainz
LLLDDLWLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Against
6.20
11.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.30
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

2.60goals per match
Mainz conceded1.90
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.10goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.20
11.10
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.10
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
23.00
Match total
18.20

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.60
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches230
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%58.3%+2.4 pp
Draw23.0%23.9%+0.9 pp
Away21.1%17.8%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.1%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

1.981.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
2-112.6%
2-09.1%
1-07.8%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.114.33
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=230.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.7%33.8%–62.1% CI
Draw FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI
Away FT15.9%7.9%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals61.4%
3+ goals29.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.3%
Away50.0%