Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 14:30
16.6614.0%
X5.2617.8%
21.3768.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DWWDWWWWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Bayern Munich
WDWWWWDWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
3.10
1.10
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
2.90
Against
3.30
7.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
3.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.90goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded0.90
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
2.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.30
7.60
Match total
8.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
19.90
Match total
17.60

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
6.00
On target
8.30
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.0%9.1%-4.9 pp
Draw17.8%21.2%+3.4 pp
Away68.2%69.7%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

1.002.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-212.1%
0-112.1%
0-46.1%
0-56.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.187.33
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.8%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.539.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Away FT73.7%51.2%–88.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals36.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.6%
Away73.7%