Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 17:30
11.3867.5%
X4.8819.1%
26.9613.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WDWWWWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Hamburg
DLLLLLDWDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.20
Against
4.60
10.80
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.50
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.50goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.50
Matchup

Hamburg attack

0.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.60
10.80
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.70
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.20
Match total
25.70

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.70
On target
4.90
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches230
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.5%72.2%+4.7 pp
Draw19.1%20.0%+0.9 pp
Away13.4%7.8%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.460.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.3%
2-010.0%
2-19.6%
3-08.3%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.423.50
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=229.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%40.5%–66.7% CI
Draw FT38.5%26.5%–52.0% CI
Away FT7.7%3.0%–18.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away25.0%