Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 14:30
12.2541.6%
X3.4427.2%
22.9931.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
WLDLLWWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
M'gladbach
WWWLLDDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.80
Against
5.30
9.30
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.60goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.70Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.20goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.30
9.30
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.90
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
6.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
18.30
Match total
23.00
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches768
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%41.1%-0.4 pp
Draw27.2%28.1%+0.9 pp
Away31.3%30.7%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS57.8%
Historical average
1.50–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.2%
1-09.6%
1-29.1%
2-18.7%
2-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–4.57
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=767.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%30.5%–44.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%31.0%–44.5% CI
Away FT25.5%19.9%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.8%
Away43.2%