Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 14:30
12.2042.4%
X3.4627.0%
23.0530.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
WWWDLDLDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mainz
LLLLDDLWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Against
5.40
8.40
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded2.30
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.40
8.40
Match total
8.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.30
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.90
Match total
19.50

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches750
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%41.6%-0.8 pp
Draw27.0%27.9%+0.9 pp
Away30.6%30.5%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.461.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-010.8%
2-19.3%
1-28.9%
2-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.60
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=749.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches207
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%30.0%–43.0% CI
Draw FT38.2%31.8%–44.9% CI
Away FT25.6%20.1%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away43.5%