Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 17:30
12.0944.5%
X3.5226.4%
23.2129.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
LDWWDDDWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
FC Koln
LWLLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.40
Against
6.90
9.80
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.30goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.90
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.80goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.90
9.80
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
24.10
Match total
18.60

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches585
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%44.3%-0.3 pp
Draw26.4%28.5%+2.1 pp
Away29.0%27.2%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.561.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
1-09.7%
2-18.9%
2-08.0%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.48
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=585.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.2%31.3%–45.7% CI
Draw FT38.8%31.8%–46.3% CI
Away FT22.9%17.3%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away43.5%