Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-13 · 19:30
11.9049.4%
X3.3128.4%
24.2222.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
LDLWDLWLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
St Pauli
LLLDDLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
6.90
7.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.40goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.90
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.80goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.90
7.30
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.60
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
19.90
Match total
18.10

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.50
On target
2.40
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches888
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%49.8%+0.4 pp
Draw28.4%30.6%+2.3 pp
Away22.2%19.6%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.450.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-014.3%
0-010.1%
2-09.8%
2-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.593.90
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=887.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches301
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT38.2%32.9%–43.8% CI
Draw FT44.2%38.7%–49.8% CI
Away FT17.6%13.7%–22.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away39.9%