Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 16:30
12.2042.5%
X3.3028.3%
23.2029.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
DWDDLWDLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Werder Bremen
LDDLLDLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.00
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.30goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.90
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

0.60goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.10
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
24.30
Match total
20.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,438
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%41.9%-0.5 pp
Draw28.3%30.3%+1.9 pp
Away29.2%27.8%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.431.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-010.8%
2-110.1%
0-08.5%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.50
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,438.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches442
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.2%29.9%–38.7% CI
Draw FT41.2%36.7%–45.8% CI
Away FT24.7%20.9%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away42.8%