Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 17:30
14.1022.7%
X3.9723.5%
21.7353.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DWLDLLWWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Dortmund
WLWDWDDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
8.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.60goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
8.70
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

6.90N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
18.80
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%22.2%-0.6 pp
Draw23.5%25.1%+1.7 pp
Away53.8%52.7%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.201.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.0%
2-29.6%
1-18.4%
0-17.2%
0-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.275.54
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.3%11.8%–40.9% CI
Draw FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI
Away FT46.7%30.2%–63.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals23.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%