Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 14:30
13.0530.5%
X3.6525.5%
22.1243.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLDDLDWWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Stuttgart
WWLDLWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.50
1.20
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.10
Against
3.60
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
Stuttgart conceded1.50
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

2.50goals per match
Mainz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.60
9.80
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
23.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.10
On target
6.30
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%28.1%-2.4 pp
Draw25.5%25.9%+0.4 pp
Away43.9%46.0%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

1.381.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.7%
1-28.0%
2-27.1%
2-17.1%
1-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.865.31
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.8%17.0%–39.6% CI
Draw FT32.1%21.4%–45.2% CI
Away FT41.1%29.2%–54.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals51.8%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.4%
Away55.4%