Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 14:30
12.8632.6%
X3.3527.8%
22.3539.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WDDWWDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Leverkusen
WLWLWLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.10
1.40
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
4.70
8.30
Total
9.20
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.00goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.40
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.50goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.70
8.30
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
20.40
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches518
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%30.3%-2.3 pp
Draw27.8%27.0%-0.8 pp
Away39.6%42.7%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.211.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-29.7%
0-19.3%
1-08.9%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.29
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=518.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.6%26.5%–41.4% CI
Draw FT32.2%25.3%–40.0% CI
Away FT34.2%27.1%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals42.8%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away52.6%