Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 14:30
12.8632.6%
X3.3527.8%
22.3539.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
WDDWWDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Leverkusen
WLWLWLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
2.10
1.40
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
4.70
8.30
Total
9.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
2.00goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.40Matchup
Leverkusen attack
1.50goals per matchFreiburg conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.70
8.30
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
20.40
Match total
21.30
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches518
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%30.3%-2.3 pp
Draw27.8%27.0%-0.8 pp
Away39.6%42.7%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
1.21–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
1-29.7%
0-19.3%
1-08.9%
0-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–5.29
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=518.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.6%26.5%–41.4% CI
Draw FT32.2%25.3%–40.0% CI
Away FT34.2%27.1%–42.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals42.8%
3+ goals17.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.9%
Away52.6%