Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-06 · 19:30
11.1979.2%
X7.4312.7%
211.558.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWWWWDWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
M'gladbach
LWWWLLDDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

3.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.60
100%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.40
1H goals
1.40
2.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.00
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
4.90
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.70goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.60
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.20goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.50
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
16.70
Match total
24.70

Shots

20.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
8.80
On target
3.50
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.2%76.5%-2.7 pp
Draw12.7%17.6%+5.0 pp
Away8.2%5.9%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.558.8%
BTTS70.6%

Historical average

3.121.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.6%
5-111.8%
1-111.8%
6-05.9%
3-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

8.003.65
Average total11.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.552.9%
Over 11.547.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.9%
Away36.8%