Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-04 · 19:30
13.3527.9%
X3.5726.1%
22.0346.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WLDWWDDDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Leverkusen
WWLWLWLWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.30
1.50
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
5.80
9.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.70goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.50
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.60goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.80
9.40
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
24.50
Match total
21.40

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches186
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%25.3%-2.6 pp
Draw26.1%23.7%-2.5 pp
Away46.0%51.1%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.181.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.3%
0-19.7%
1-19.1%
2-28.1%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.33
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=186.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%19.1%–42.8% CI
Draw FT24.1%14.6%–36.9% CI
Away FT46.3%33.7%–59.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals53.7%
3+ goals35.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away66.7%