Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 14:30
12.1843.6%
X3.9424.1%
22.9432.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
WWWWDWDDDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Leverkusen
WWDDWWWWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.10
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.50
Against
4.00
8.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.60goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.10goals per match
Mainz conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.00
8.70
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.70
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.70
Match total
20.20

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.80
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%50.0%+6.4 pp
Draw24.1%22.5%-1.6 pp
Away32.3%27.5%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.597.5%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS80.0%

Historical average

2.131.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
1-110.0%
1-210.0%
2-07.5%
3-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.334.20
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away41.7%