Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 14:30
15.1118.6%
X5.2318.1%
21.5063.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
DLLDLDDDWL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Bayern Munich
DLWWDWDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
3.10
9.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.10goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.00
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

1.90goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.10
9.90
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
4.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.20
Match total
21.70

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.40
On target
5.50
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%5.0%-13.6 pp
Draw18.1%30.0%+11.9 pp
Away63.3%65.0%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.555.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

1.102.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.0%
2-215.0%
1-410.0%
1-110.0%
3-35.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.006.70
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals46.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away100.0%