Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 14:30
12.3041.3%
X3.8724.5%
22.7834.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
LWLLLLWLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Werder Bremen
WWLDLLWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
9.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

0.70goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.70
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.60goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
9.10
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.60
Match total
21.00

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.60
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%43.7%+2.4 pp
Draw24.5%27.2%+2.6 pp
Away34.2%29.1%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.511.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-111.7%
1-09.7%
1-28.7%
0-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.30
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Draw FT46.4%29.5%–64.2% CI
Away FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away46.4%