Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 14:30
11.0888.1%
X12.727.5%
221.584.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
DDLDLWLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LLDLLWLDDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.70
Against
7.70
9.50
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
3.60
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.30goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.20
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.60goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.70
9.50
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
20.30
Match total
22.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.20
18%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home88.1%100.0%+11.9 pp
Draw7.5%0.0%-7.5 pp
Away4.4%0.0%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.5100.0%
Over 3.583.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

4.500.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-125.0%
3-08.3%
6-08.3%
8-08.3%
7-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.822.73
Average total11.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.554.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away36.4%