Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 14:30
12.0845.7%
X3.4727.4%
23.5227.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
WLLWDDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Union Berlin
LLLLWLWWDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
1.60
Total goals
3.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

0.60goals per match
Union Berlin conceded2.10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.20goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
20.50
Match total
21.90

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%41.7%-4.0 pp
Draw27.4%30.0%+2.6 pp
Away27.0%28.3%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.481.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.7%
1-110.8%
0-09.2%
1-09.2%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.61
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.8%
Over 9.561.7%
Over 10.551.7%
Over 11.543.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Draw FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Away FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.1%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away31.0%