Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 14:30
12.6536.0%
X3.9424.2%
22.3939.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WWWWWDLWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Dortmund
WLLWLWLWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.40
Against
4.30
9.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.70
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.30
9.20
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.90
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
8.10N=10
20.80
Match total
19.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
5.30
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%39.5%+3.5 pp
Draw24.2%21.1%-3.1 pp
Away39.9%39.5%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS76.3%

Historical average

1.761.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.2%
1-113.2%
3-110.5%
2-37.9%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.115.26
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.547.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away90.0%