Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 14:30
13.2129.6%
X3.8025.0%
22.0945.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
LWWLDLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Freiburg
DLLLWWDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
2.20
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.30
Against
4.60
9.10
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.70
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.60
9.10
Match total
7.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.50
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
23.60
Match total
18.20

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.6%31.3%+1.7 pp
Draw25.0%30.3%+5.3 pp
Away45.4%38.4%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS77.8%

Historical average

1.621.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
2-112.1%
2-211.1%
1-211.1%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.025.80
Average total10.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.539.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away60.0%