Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 14:30
12.9532.2%
X3.6825.8%
22.2741.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bochum
WWDLWLLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Mainz
WLLLWWWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
6.30
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bochum attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.50
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.20goals per match
Bochum conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.30
11.20
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.90
Match total
22.40

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches273
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%32.6%+0.4 pp
Draw25.8%31.1%+5.3 pp
Away41.9%36.3%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

1.341.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
2-19.9%
1-28.4%
0-08.4%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.68
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=273.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.7%16.4%–35.4% CI
Draw FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Away FT26.0%17.5%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.6%
Away53.2%