Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 18:30
12.3840.0%
X3.6426.2%
22.8233.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
WWWWWDWDDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Ein Frankfurt
WWLWDDLWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.40
Against
5.80
8.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.80goals per match
Ein Frankfurt conceded1.40
Matchup

Ein Frankfurt attack

1.50goals per match
Mainz conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.80
8.60
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.90
Match total
19.20

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%36.5%-3.5 pp
Draw26.2%26.1%-0.1 pp
Away33.8%37.4%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS61.7%

Historical average

1.521.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.4%
1-29.5%
2-18.1%
0-07.7%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.86
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%21.8%–45.9% CI
Draw FT45.5%33.0%–58.5% CI
Away FT21.8%12.9%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away43.6%