Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 16:30
13.0830.9%
X3.5127.1%
22.2742.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWWLWWDLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Leverkusen
WWWDDWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.90
2.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
8.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.10goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.00
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
8.30
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
19.60
Match total
20.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.80
On target
4.60
17%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches465
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%30.5%-0.4 pp
Draw27.1%27.5%+0.4 pp
Away42.0%41.9%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.251.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-18.2%
0-18.0%
1-28.0%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.685.24
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=464.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.6%14.6%–28.3% CI
Draw FT38.9%31.0%–47.5% CI
Away FT40.5%32.4%–49.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.2%
Away60.3%