Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 16:30
13.0830.9%
X3.5127.1%
22.2742.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
WWWLWWDLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Leverkusen
WWWDDWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.90
2.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
8.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.60
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
2.10goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.00Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.10goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
8.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
19.60
Match total
20.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.80
On target
4.60
17%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches465
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%30.5%-0.4 pp
Draw27.1%27.5%+0.4 pp
Away42.0%41.9%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
1.25–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
2-18.2%
0-18.0%
1-28.0%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.68–5.24
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=464.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.6%14.6%–28.3% CI
Draw FT38.9%31.0%–47.5% CI
Away FT40.5%32.4%–49.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals19.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.2%
Away60.3%