Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 17:30
11.3272.1%
X5.9715.9%
27.9612.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WDDLDLWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Wolfsburg
WLWLDWWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.40
Against
6.00
9.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.30goals per match
Wolfsburg conceded1.40
Matchup

Wolfsburg attack

1.70goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.00
9.50
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.30
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
19.90
Match total
20.80

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.1%65.4%-6.7 pp
Draw15.9%11.5%-4.4 pp
Away12.0%23.1%+11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS65.4%

Historical average

2.381.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.4%
1-211.5%
4-17.7%
4-07.7%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.543.92
Average total11.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.6%
Over 9.576.9%
Over 10.557.7%
Over 11.553.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away16.7%