Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 14:30
12.7235.0%
X3.4227.8%
22.5637.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
LLLWDLLDWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Werder Bremen
LWWLDLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.20
0.56
2H goals
1.80
44%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.44N=9
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
9.44
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/9 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.00goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.60Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.40goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
0.78
1H goals scored
0.50
1.22
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.33
2H goals scored
0.90
0.22
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
4.44N=9
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
9.44
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.67N=9
For
2.10N=10
3.22
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.11N=9
Committed
10.20N=10
22.44
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.11N=9
Shots
9.50N=10
3.44
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches639
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%32.4%-2.6 pp
Draw27.8%27.4%-0.4 pp
Away37.2%40.2%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS57.6%
Historical average
1.30–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
0-19.9%
1-28.8%
2-17.8%
1-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–5.00
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=639.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.4%19.7%–32.0% CI
Draw FT38.1%31.5%–45.2% CI
Away FT36.5%30.0%–43.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals17.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.2%
Away57.7%