Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 14:30
12.7235.0%
X3.4227.8%
22.5637.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
LLLWDLLDWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Werder Bremen
LWWLDLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.20
0.56
2H goals
1.80
44%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.44N=9
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
9.44
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/9 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.00goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.60
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.40goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=10
0.78
1H goals scored
0.50
1.22
1H goals conceded
0.70
67%6/9
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
11%1/9
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.33
2H goals scored
0.90
0.22
2H goals conceded
0.90
44%4/9
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
22%2/9
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=10
4.44N=9
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
9.44
Match total
9.30
67%6/9
Over 8.5
60%6/10
44%4/9
Over 9.5
50%5/10
33%3/9
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.67N=9
For
2.10N=10
3.22
Match total
4.30
44%4/9
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.11N=9
Committed
10.20N=10
22.44
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.11N=9
Shots
9.50N=10
3.44
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches639
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%32.4%-2.6 pp
Draw27.8%27.4%-0.4 pp
Away37.2%40.2%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.301.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-19.9%
1-28.8%
2-17.8%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.035.00
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=639.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.4%19.7%–32.0% CI
Draw FT38.1%31.5%–45.2% CI
Away FT36.5%30.0%–43.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away57.7%