Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 14:30
14.4921.2%
X4.5720.8%
21.6458.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
RB Leipzig
LWWDWDLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bayern Munich
WDLWWDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.40
Against
3.40
10.70
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.70
3.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.00goals per matchBayern Munich conceded0.70Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
1.70goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.40
10.70
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.20
Match total
21.90
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.40
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.2%27.8%+6.6 pp
Draw20.8%16.7%-4.1 pp
Away58.0%55.6%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.22–2.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-122.2%
2-216.7%
2-116.7%
2-311.1%
0-65.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–5.39
Average total10.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals35.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away85.7%