Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 14:30
14.4921.2%
X4.5720.8%
21.6458.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
LWWDWDLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bayern Munich
WDLWWDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.40
Against
3.40
10.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.70
3.60
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.00goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded0.70
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

1.70goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.40
10.70
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.20
Match total
21.90

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.40
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.2%27.8%+6.6 pp
Draw20.8%16.7%-4.1 pp
Away58.0%55.6%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.222.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-122.2%
2-216.7%
2-116.7%
2-311.1%
0-65.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.225.39
Average total10.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away85.7%