Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 14:30
12.1045.3%
X3.9524.1%
23.1130.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WDWLWDLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Hoffenheim
LDLWLWWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.90
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.90
Against
6.60
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.40goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.00
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.20goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.60
9.90
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
18.30
Match total
23.20

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%45.2%-0.2 pp
Draw24.1%22.6%-1.5 pp
Away30.6%32.3%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.551.6%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.841.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-29.7%
1-09.7%
1-36.5%
4-36.5%
1-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.164.48
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.541.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away30.8%