Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 16:30
11.9050.0%
X3.6825.8%
23.9324.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
DWDLWLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
St Pauli
LLWLWLLDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.60
9.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.70goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.40
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.90goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.60
9.60
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.10
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.30
Match total
21.00

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches655
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%48.7%-1.3 pp
Draw25.8%27.2%+1.4 pp
Away24.2%24.1%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.611.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-010.5%
2-19.6%
0-08.1%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.26
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=655.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches194
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.7%34.1%–47.8% CI
Draw FT41.8%35.0%–48.8% CI
Away FT17.5%12.8%–23.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away41.8%