Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 14:30
13.0631.1%
X3.8624.7%
22.1544.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
LLWWLDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
M'gladbach
LWLLWWWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.90
2.20
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
2.30
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
8.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.70
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.50goals per matchM'gladbach conceded2.00Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.90goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
8.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.00
Match total
20.00
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.60
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%22.6%-8.5 pp
Draw24.7%33.9%+9.2 pp
Away44.3%43.5%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS82.3%
Historical average
1.45–1.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.7%
1-214.5%
2-212.9%
2-112.9%
1-38.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–5.40
Average total10.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.8%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away80.0%