Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 14:30
13.0631.1%
X3.8624.7%
22.1544.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
LLWWLDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
M'gladbach
LWLLWWWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
2.20
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
8.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.70
Total goals
3.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.50goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.00
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.90goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
8.40
Match total
9.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
2.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.00
Match total
20.00

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.60
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%22.6%-8.5 pp
Draw24.7%33.9%+9.2 pp
Away44.3%43.5%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS82.3%

Historical average

1.451.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.7%
1-214.5%
2-212.9%
2-112.9%
1-38.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.905.40
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.8%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away80.0%