Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 14:30
14.1522.9%
X4.3022.1%
21.7355.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WDLLDLDDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Dortmund
DWLLWLWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.40
Against
4.80
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.30goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.60
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.60goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.80
9.90
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.80
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
23.20
Match total
19.20

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.9%17.1%-5.8 pp
Draw22.1%22.9%+0.7 pp
Away55.0%60.0%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.092.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.4%
2-38.6%
1-18.6%
1-28.6%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.065.80
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.3%
Away62.5%