Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 14:30
11.2278.2%
X7.1213.4%
211.368.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWWWWWWLWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Mainz
LWLLLWWWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

3.50
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.60
100%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.60
3.10
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.00
Against
6.20
9.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
5.00
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.50goals per match
Mainz conceded1.60
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.50goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
2.00
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.00
Corners against
6.20
9.60
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
16.50
Match total
21.90

Shots

22.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
10.00
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.2%72.1%-6.1 pp
Draw13.4%16.4%+3.0 pp
Away8.4%11.5%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.545.9%
BTTS59.0%

Historical average

2.770.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.1%
5-18.2%
1-08.2%
3-08.2%
5-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.983.18
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away58.3%