Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-25 · 19:30
11.4964.2%
X4.9019.5%
25.8716.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stuttgart
WWLWWLLLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Heidenheim
LLLDLLDDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.30
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
8.00
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
3.50
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stuttgart attack
1.80goals per matchHeidenheim conceded2.30Matchup
Heidenheim attack
1.20goals per matchStuttgart conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
8.00
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.20
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
25.00
Match total
20.30
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.2%63.2%-1.0 pp
Draw19.5%25.0%+5.5 pp
Away16.3%11.8%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.551.5%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
2.47–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
1-010.3%
4-08.8%
3-07.4%
3-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.74–3.75
Average total9.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.1%
Away57.1%