Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 18:30
15.1518.4%
X3.8524.7%
21.6756.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
LWLLWDLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leverkusen
DWWWDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.90
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.10
Against
3.90
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.90goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.00
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.10goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.90
9.60
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
20.40
Match total
20.00

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.40
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%16.9%-1.6 pp
Draw24.7%16.3%-8.4 pp
Away56.9%66.9%+10.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

0.711.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.0%
0-214.4%
1-210.6%
1-38.8%
1-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.695.91
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%15.5%–37.7% CI
Away FT55.4%42.4%–67.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.1%
Away69.6%