Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 18:30
15.1518.4%
X3.8524.7%
21.6756.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Pauli
LWLLWDLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leverkusen
DWWWDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.90
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.10
Against
3.90
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Pauli attack
0.90goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.00Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.10goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.90
9.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
20.40
Match total
20.00
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.40
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.4%16.9%-1.6 pp
Draw24.7%16.3%-8.4 pp
Away56.9%66.9%+10.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS41.3%
Historical average
0.71–1.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-120.0%
0-214.4%
1-210.6%
1-38.8%
1-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.69–5.91
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.524.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%15.5%–37.7% CI
Away FT55.4%42.4%–67.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals8.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.1%
Away69.6%