Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 16:30
11.4167.5%
X5.2518.1%
26.6014.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWDDLDLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
M'gladbach
DLWLLWWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.20
Against
5.80
9.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.20goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.70
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.70goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.80
9.10
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.70
Match total
2.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
19.90
Match total
19.80

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.80
On target
4.60
15%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.5%81.5%+14.0 pp
Draw18.1%14.8%-3.3 pp
Away14.4%3.7%-10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.548.1%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

2.520.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-118.5%
2-118.5%
1-011.1%
2-011.1%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.153.37
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals55.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%