Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 14:30
11.3172.7%
X5.8916.2%
28.5111.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
DLWWDWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LLLLDLLWLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Against
6.60
10.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
2.50
3.40
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.90goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.50
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.60
10.30
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
21.90
Match total
23.30

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.40
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.7%80.9%+8.2 pp
Draw16.2%11.2%-4.9 pp
Away11.2%7.9%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.550.6%
BTTS58.4%

Historical average

2.820.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.9%
1-010.1%
4-07.9%
2-06.7%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.833.67
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.565.2%
Over 10.550.6%
Over 11.539.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals46.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away53.8%