Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 14:30
12.0247.0%
X3.6526.0%
23.5326.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mainz
DWWWWWDWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Wolfsburg
WWLWLDWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
8.00
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mainz attack
1.70goals per matchWolfsburg conceded1.30Matchup
Wolfsburg attack
1.80goals per matchMainz conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
8.00
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.80
Match total
21.70
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%43.6%-3.4 pp
Draw26.0%29.4%+3.4 pp
Away26.9%26.9%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.63–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.7%
2-110.1%
1-28.2%
1-08.0%
2-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.67–4.35
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.0%25.1%–39.8% CI
Draw FT42.7%35.0%–50.7% CI
Away FT25.3%19.0%–32.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals22.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away50.7%