Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 14:30
12.0247.0%
X3.6526.0%
23.5326.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DWWWWWDWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Wolfsburg
WWLWLDWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
8.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.70goals per match
Wolfsburg conceded1.30
Matchup

Wolfsburg attack

1.80goals per match
Mainz conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
8.00
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.80
Match total
21.70

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%43.6%-3.4 pp
Draw26.0%29.4%+3.4 pp
Away26.9%26.9%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.631.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-110.1%
1-28.2%
1-08.0%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.35
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.0%25.1%–39.8% CI
Draw FT42.7%35.0%–50.7% CI
Away FT25.3%19.0%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away50.7%