Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 14:30
11.9449.1%
X3.7225.6%
23.7625.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DWWWLWWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Hoffenheim
DLDLWLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
7.40
8.70
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.80goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.70
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.00goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.40
8.70
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
19.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.40
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches539
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.1%50.1%+1.0 pp
Draw25.6%25.0%-0.5 pp
Away25.3%24.9%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.721.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.5%
2-110.6%
1-08.9%
2-08.2%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.28
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=539.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.4%30.9%–46.4% CI
Draw FT39.0%31.5%–47.1% CI
Away FT22.6%16.6%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals23.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.6%
Away47.3%