Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 17:30
11.4366.7%
X5.2018.4%
26.4014.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Dortmund
LDWLLWLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
3.60
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.70
100%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.50
3.00
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
1.50
Against
5.00
9.30
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
4.90
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.60goals per matchDortmund conceded1.70Matchup
Dortmund attack
1.50goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
1.50
Corners against
5.00
9.30
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.40N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
17.00
Match total
20.10
Shots
22.80N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
10.30
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.7%83.7%+17.0 pp
Draw18.4%16.3%-2.1 pp
Away14.9%0.0%-14.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.551.2%
BTTS62.8%
Historical average
2.77–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-114.0%
2-114.0%
1-011.6%
1-19.3%
2-09.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.28–3.79
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.0%
Away20.0%