Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 17:30
11.4366.7%
X5.2018.4%
26.4014.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Dortmund
LDWLLWLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

3.60
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.70
100%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.50
3.00
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
1.50
Against
5.00
9.30
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
4.90
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.60goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.70
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.50goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
2.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
1.50
Corners against
5.00
9.30
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
17.00
Match total
20.10

Shots

22.80N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
10.30
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.7%83.7%+17.0 pp
Draw18.4%16.3%-2.1 pp
Away14.9%0.0%-14.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.551.2%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

2.770.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.0%
2-114.0%
1-011.6%
1-19.3%
2-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.79
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away20.0%