Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 14:30
12.1843.7%
X3.6526.1%
23.1530.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WWDWLWDLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Freiburg
DLDLLLWWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.70goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.00
Matchup

Freiburg attack

0.70goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
19.00
Match total
18.60

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches339
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%40.1%-3.6 pp
Draw26.1%28.9%+2.8 pp
Away30.2%31.0%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.521.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.3%
2-19.4%
0-09.4%
1-07.4%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.57
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=338.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.3%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%23.3%–41.4% CI
Draw FT45.9%36.4%–55.8% CI
Away FT22.4%15.3%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away39.8%