Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 14:30
13.1630.1%
X3.3728.3%
22.2941.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
WLLWWLDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
St Pauli
WLLWLWLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.40
Against
6.00
8.90
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.50goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.30Matchup
St Pauli attack
0.90goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.00
8.90
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.40
Match total
20.40
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.00
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches680
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%28.5%-1.6 pp
Draw28.3%24.9%-3.4 pp
Away41.6%46.6%+5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.15–1.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
1-210.6%
0-110.0%
1-08.1%
0-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.82–5.14
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=680.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%23.7%–36.3% CI
Draw FT32.7%26.5%–39.5% CI
Away FT37.7%31.2%–44.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.2%
Away56.3%