Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 14:30
13.1630.1%
X3.3728.3%
22.2941.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
WLLWWLDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
St Pauli
WLLWLWLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.40
Against
6.00
8.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.50goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.30
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.90goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.00
8.90
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.40
Match total
20.40

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.00
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches680
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%28.5%-1.6 pp
Draw28.3%24.9%-3.4 pp
Away41.6%46.6%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.151.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-210.6%
0-110.0%
1-08.1%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.825.14
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=680.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%23.7%–36.3% CI
Draw FT32.7%26.5%–39.5% CI
Away FT37.7%31.2%–44.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.2%
Away56.3%