Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 14:30
12.6635.8%
X3.4627.5%
22.5936.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LWDLLDLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Mainz
WLWLLLWWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.90
Against
6.00
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.40
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.80goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.00
9.70
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
4.00
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.30
Match total
20.80

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.90
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches479
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%35.7%-0.1 pp
Draw27.5%29.4%+1.9 pp
Away36.7%34.9%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS61.0%

Historical average

1.401.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-28.8%
1-08.1%
2-17.9%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.245.09
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=479.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches129
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.9%27.2%–43.4% CI
Draw FT38.8%30.8%–47.4% CI
Away FT26.4%19.5%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals50.4%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.7%
Away51.2%