Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 14:30
12.4938.1%
X3.4027.9%
22.8033.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
DLWLLWDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
M'gladbach
DDLWLLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
80%
20%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
9.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
1.70
Total goals
3.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.80goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.70
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.70goals per match
St Pauli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
9.60
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
20.60
Match total
21.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.00
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches510
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%38.8%+0.7 pp
Draw27.9%26.5%-1.5 pp
Away33.9%34.7%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.381.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-210.8%
2-110.4%
1-010.2%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.58
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=510.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches135
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%30.7%–46.9% CI
Draw FT31.9%24.6%–40.1% CI
Away FT29.6%22.6%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.7%
2+ goals49.6%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away54.1%