Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 14:30
11.4466.1%
X4.7220.2%
26.9213.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LDWWWWWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LLLLLDLLWL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
2.60
30%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.20
Against
7.10
8.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
2.60
2.30
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.60goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.60
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
Mainz conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.10
8.00
Match total
10.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.20
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches298
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.1%72.1%+6.1 pp
Draw20.2%20.1%-0.0 pp
Away13.8%7.7%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

2.340.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
2-011.1%
1-010.7%
0-08.1%
3-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.743.36
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=297.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.1%47.6%–68.0% CI
Draw FT37.2%27.7%–47.8% CI
Away FT4.7%1.8%–11.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals48.8%
3+ goals23.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.6%
Away25.6%