Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 14:30
16.7814.0%
X4.7020.2%
21.4465.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
DLLLWLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Leverkusen
DDWWWDDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.20
2.00
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.30
Against
3.80
10.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.20
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

0.80goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.20
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.20goals per match
Heidenheim conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.80
10.00
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.60
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
25.70
Match total
19.60

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.80
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.0%14.2%+0.2 pp
Draw20.2%15.6%-4.6 pp
Away65.8%70.2%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

0.972.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.9%
1-214.2%
0-29.2%
2-27.8%
1-35.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.656.49
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%4.7%–26.6% CI
Draw FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI
Away FT67.6%50.8%–80.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.2%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.4%
Away79.4%