Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 14:30
16.7814.0%
X4.7020.2%
21.4465.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heidenheim
DLLLWLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Leverkusen
DDWWWDDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
2.20
2.00
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.30
Against
3.80
10.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.20
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heidenheim attack
0.80goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.20Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.20goals per matchHeidenheim conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.80
10.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.60
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
25.70
Match total
19.60
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.80
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.0%14.2%+0.2 pp
Draw20.2%15.6%-4.6 pp
Away65.8%70.2%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
0.97–2.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.9%
1-214.2%
0-29.2%
2-27.8%
1-35.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.65–6.49
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%4.7%–26.6% CI
Draw FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI
Away FT67.6%50.8%–80.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.79
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.2%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.4%
Away79.4%