Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 14:30
13.0731.0%
X3.5327.0%
22.2742.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WDWWWLWWDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Dortmund
LLDWLLWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
8.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.00goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.80
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
8.90
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
19.40
Match total
21.00

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches498
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%29.9%-1.1 pp
Draw27.0%27.9%+0.9 pp
Away42.0%42.2%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.241.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-19.0%
0-27.6%
1-27.6%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.23
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=497.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches142
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.4%14.6%–27.8% CI
Draw FT40.1%32.4%–48.4% CI
Away FT39.4%31.8%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.0%
Away59.2%