Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 16:30
11.6657.3%
X4.1023.2%
24.8619.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWWDDLDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mainz
DWLWLLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.90
Against
6.20
8.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.70goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.20
8.90
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
19.60
Match total
21.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.80
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches306
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%61.8%+4.5 pp
Draw23.2%20.6%-2.6 pp
Away19.6%17.6%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

2.031.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.4%
2-111.1%
1-09.8%
1-17.2%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.084.03
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=306.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.3%40.4%–64.0% CI
Draw FT30.8%20.9%–42.8% CI
Away FT16.9%9.7%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals24.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.7%
Away30.8%