Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 14:30
12.0047.7%
X3.4327.8%
23.8924.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
LWDWWWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Union Berlin
WLLLLLLWLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.00
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.90goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded2.30Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.10goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
20.00
Match total
20.90
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,040
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%48.0%+0.3 pp
Draw27.8%28.0%+0.2 pp
Away24.5%24.0%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.48–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
1-012.9%
2-19.5%
2-09.2%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.51–4.22
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,040.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches359
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT40.1%35.2%–45.3% CI
Draw FT36.2%31.4%–41.3% CI
Away FT23.7%19.6%–28.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.7%
Away41.5%