Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 14:30
12.0047.7%
X3.4327.8%
23.8924.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
LWDWWWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Union Berlin
WLLLLLLWLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.00
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.90goals per match
Union Berlin conceded2.30
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
20.00
Match total
20.90

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,040
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%48.0%+0.3 pp
Draw27.8%28.0%+0.2 pp
Away24.5%24.0%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.480.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-012.9%
2-19.5%
2-09.2%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.22
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,040.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches359
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT40.1%35.2%–45.3% CI
Draw FT36.2%31.4%–41.3% CI
Away FT23.7%19.6%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away41.5%