Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 14:30
13.3228.8%
X3.8025.1%
22.0746.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
LWLLWWLDLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Werder Bremen
WLLWWLDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.30
Against
5.60
9.20
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.50goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.10Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.40goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.60
9.20
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
23.20
Match total
21.70
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%33.6%+4.9 pp
Draw25.1%17.2%-7.9 pp
Away46.1%49.1%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.543.1%
BTTS62.1%
Historical average
1.49–1.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-29.5%
2-18.6%
1-27.8%
1-17.8%
1-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–5.56
Average total10.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.535.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Draw FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI
Away FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.78
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.6%
2+ goals65.6%
3+ goals21.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.9%
Away68.8%