Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 14:30
13.3228.8%
X3.8025.1%
22.0746.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
LWLLWWLDLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Werder Bremen
WLLWWLDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.90
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.30
Against
5.60
9.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.50goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.40goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
0%0/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.60
9.20
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
23.20
Match total
21.70

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%33.6%+4.9 pp
Draw25.1%17.2%-7.9 pp
Away46.1%49.1%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.543.1%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.491.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-29.5%
2-18.6%
1-27.8%
1-17.8%
1-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.56
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Draw FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI
Away FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.6%
2+ goals65.6%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away68.8%