Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 17:30
12.4139.7%
X3.6326.4%
22.8233.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWDLWWDWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Dortmund
LLLDWLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.00
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.60
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.10goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.80
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.30goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.00
9.70
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.00
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%35.9%-3.8 pp
Draw26.4%26.9%+0.6 pp
Away33.9%37.2%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.601.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.5%
2-29.6%
1-19.6%
2-17.7%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.88
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.540.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.2%–66.8% CI
Away FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.3%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away36.7%